TC Olwyn - (March 11 2015 onward)

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Re: TC Olwyn - (March 11 2015 onward)

Postby Tasman » Fri Mar 13, 2015 10:06 pm

128mm of glorious rain in Denham so far, twice as much as Carnarvon :mrgreen:

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Re: TC Olwyn - (March 11 2015 onward)

Postby davo » Sat Mar 14, 2015 6:45 am

Ollie had a bit of dance around overnight which has nudged its path a little more inland. Not sure what to expect in Perth now - these things usually turn out to be more wind than rain.

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Re: TC Olwyn - (March 11 2015 onward)

Postby 1987 hurricane » Sat Mar 14, 2015 7:45 am

It's very difficult to see what's going on close to Geraldton. The town itself has only had 8mm, but just inland a town has had 92mm. It does look, and I am presuming that the radar is not working up there. Because it looks like there is nothing more than a bit of drizzle.

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Re: TC Olwyn - (March 11 2015 onward)

Postby 1987 hurricane » Sat Mar 14, 2015 7:53 am

Well if the rainfall stats are correct its not drizzle as suddenly Geraldton has had 38mm of rain. Anyone from up there confirm.

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Re: TC Olwyn - (March 11 2015 onward)

Postby 1987 hurricane » Sat Mar 14, 2015 8:09 am

Well, it's gone back to 8mm, somehow I am not trusting the rainfall figures :-)

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Re: TC Olwyn - (March 11 2015 onward)

Postby davo » Sat Mar 14, 2015 8:27 am

I noticed the same thing when it passed carnarvon too. Perhaps the wind stuffs everything up?

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Re: TC Olwyn - (March 11 2015 onward)

Postby Benni.G. » Sat Mar 14, 2015 9:08 am

The bulk of the moisture looks to have detached and headed inland, is ex TC Olwyn now
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Re: TC Olwyn - (March 11 2015 onward)

Postby davo » Sat Mar 14, 2015 9:16 am

Benni.G. wrote:The bulk of the moisture looks to have detached and headed inland, is ex TC Olwyn now


Yes, I suspect the next bom forecast for Perth will be significantly downgraded in its estimates compared to the last one.

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Re: TC Olwyn - (March 11 2015 onward)

Postby adamD » Sat Mar 14, 2015 10:04 am

Not expecting any rain today for Perth unless showers and storms develop from the remains this afternoon.

Only have to look at the satpic loop to confirm that.

If TC Olwyn didnt stall to the north of Geraldton then it be nice and rainy now. Instead we only have light cloud cover and the sun is out also its quite humid.
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Re: TC Olwyn - (March 11 2015 onward)

Postby 1987 hurricane » Sat Mar 14, 2015 10:15 am

The current heat could spark thunderstorms. Temperatures are already well over what was expected. Could be an interesting few hours, expecting the forecast to change for sure.

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Re: TC Olwyn - (March 11 2015 onward)

Postby craigperth » Sat Mar 14, 2015 10:22 am

Yeah Perth is at 29.0 forecast was 26.0... It's 48% humidity... Almost feels tropical (kinda lol)... Would be nice to get up to about 35 for some good storm action
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Re: TC Olwyn - (March 11 2015 onward)

Postby adamD » Sat Mar 14, 2015 11:25 am

This I think is only chance of Perth for today.

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Re: TC Olwyn - (March 11 2015 onward)

Postby craigperth » Sat Mar 14, 2015 11:56 am

Well it's trying to heat up... Was bouncing between 29 and 30 now 32.2 so she's trying to get there to help storm development humidity is bouncing between 40 and 45%...
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Re: TC Olwyn - (March 11 2015 onward)

Postby craigperth » Sat Mar 14, 2015 1:17 pm

Humidity going up, temp going down
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Re: TC Olwyn - (March 11 2015 onward)

Postby chartphred » Sat Mar 14, 2015 2:16 pm

Well... as I thought... that was a fizzer! That dry air really works.
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