2010/11 cyclone predictions

Forum rules
Archived discussion, threat maps, photos and information on TCs

For any new Cyclones and Track Maps, create a topic on the Local Weather Forum.
WAWG Administrator
User avatar
Posts: 12284
Joined: Tue Nov 07, 2006 6:36 pm
Location: Lower West

2010/11 cyclone predictions

Postby Fu Manchu » Sat Oct 02, 2010 5:13 pm

A thought just occurred to me... don't worry I am OK :lol:
I am making the call of a cyclone effecting the west coast in Jan 2011 or there abouts.
ie If it happens really late Dec or early Feb I win :)
Now, I mean it may come as far south as Perth but that isn't likely so Exmouth to Carnarvon is my call :) Maybe even further South :)

WAWG Leadership Group
User avatar
Posts: 1623
Joined: Wed Jul 26, 2006 4:09 pm
Location: Duncraig

Re: 2010/11 cyclone predictions

Postby Lert » Sun Oct 03, 2010 10:27 am

All I can say is that the earlier cyclones seem to be inclined to come further south. If a cyclone happens in Feb +/- a few weeks, I win..
2006 - 543.5mm, 2007 - 701.5mm, 2008 - 833.5mm, 2009 - 579mm, 2010 - 631.5mm, 2011 - 872.5mm, 2012 - 770mm

2013 Jan 5mm YTD 5mm

Total Weather Freak
User avatar
Posts: 1037
Joined: Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:30 pm
Location: Melbourne, Victoria

Re: 2010/11 cyclone predictions

Postby Blue Skies » Sun Oct 03, 2010 7:47 pm

Well, was just thinking about this tonight after seeing the latest global sea surface temps and we look like we're going to get a full on la Nina combined with a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), which should mean lots of warm water up north. Looking at SSTs at the moment it is quite warm to the west of us right now. I don't know about a west coast crossing but I'd be going for a more active season than the last couple of years. January is too early imo, I wouldn't be betting on one until late Feb at the very earliest - you have to wait for the trades to be in the right place to push them over and get sucked in by a front.
2013 rainfall: 910.1mm
August: 138.7 mm to 30th 2014 YTD: 687.7 mm

Storm Chaser
User avatar
Posts: 157
Joined: Mon Nov 07, 2011 8:41 am
Location: Secret Harbour

Re: 2010/11 cyclone predictions

Postby Perth Weather Live » Fri Nov 25, 2011 7:43 pm

gee.. looking back, your call was pretty close..

Return to Archived Western Australian Tropical Cyclones (including NT)

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests