May it Rain 2014

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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby rob-dog » Thu May 22, 2014 7:46 pm

Nice big hit for down south. Time for a drive on the weekend to admire those nice green pastures :))

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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby Cmon Aussie Cmon » Thu May 22, 2014 8:00 pm

Come on rain.. creep up here. We don't want Mandurah to steal it all again.

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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby Storm Wolf » Thu May 22, 2014 10:31 pm

Swinging south.
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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby Therealroo » Thu May 22, 2014 10:45 pm

Hey! This is my first post, however I have stalked for over a year! Help....the TKUP lightning detector is down and it's a big deal! :roll: Any other sites I can use?

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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby Blue Skies » Thu May 22, 2014 10:50 pm

I don't think so. But there doesn't seem to be much lightning in this rain band, which I don't think is unusual considering the set up (moist warm air sucked down in front of the front, no cold air to contrast with it.)
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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby chartphred » Thu May 22, 2014 10:52 pm

Total fizzer of a cold front (for Perth anyway), the whole thing looked like it was starting to fall apart last night... well that was my interpretation of the satpics, and Fu your prediction seems pretty damn correct.
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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby ozzie » Thu May 22, 2014 11:01 pm

chartphred wrote:Total fizzer of a cold front (for Perth anyway), the whole thing looked like it was starting to fall apart last night... well that was my interpretation of the satpics, and Fu your prediction seems pretty damn correct.


I think its slowing down now, should get some decent rain!

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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby brayden » Thu May 22, 2014 11:16 pm

Therealroo wrote:Hey! This is my first post, however I have stalked for over a year! Help....the TKUP lightning detector is down and it's a big deal! :roll: Any other sites I can use?


I'm guessing the stormvue link on http://www.tkup.net/lightning/ is alright? Otherwise can use WZ tracker
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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby Blue Skies » Thu May 22, 2014 11:31 pm

Not the most coherent front nor the coldest looking cold pool but some interesting things going on nonetheless.
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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby davo » Thu May 22, 2014 11:58 pm

Don't worry folks, there is plenty more to come. I'm pretty confident that band of cloud to the NW in the satpic should dump a good drop in a few hours and a bit into the daytime. (visualise my neck stuck out here...)

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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby davo » Fri May 23, 2014 12:04 am

Already 16mm here, btw. :-)

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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby brayden » Fri May 23, 2014 2:46 am

Blue Skies wrote:Not the most coherent front nor the coldest looking cold pool but some interesting things going on nonetheless.


Yeah pretty impressive considering its a dual low system, could become three later. The cold pool is quite big, estimated off the imagery below, from north to south the distance is bigger than Port Hedland to Albany. The cold air pushing north in the SW part of the system looks delicious. Good to see that moisture is coming in from the NW too.

Image


Also the system behind it not looking to shabby either :)

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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby Fu Manchu » Fri May 23, 2014 7:00 am

Yeah Toms Lightning tracker is on the fritz. For now.

The tropical moisture from that second area to the NW is looking to be good for it. I wasn't confident that it would be, but gee my hat tastes good with some sauce on it.
The moisture feeding into the cold pool and pre frontal rainfall.

I was in bed looking at that NOAA animation and cop the system out further west. It looks very healthy with a large mass of very cold cloud. It almost looks like we will see the three elements come together. Almost.

Rainfall has been nuts all night. It's been a long time since West Aussies would have had rain so constant and heavy for this long.

Looking at the rainfall across all the WA stations, some excellent rains.
Seldom Seen Creek Gardens 57mm (certainly has its creek seen today)
Bungendore 54mm
DingoRoad 54mm
Mount William 49mm

The rainfall bulletin will be worth a look this morning (issued after 9am)

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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby Greggo » Fri May 23, 2014 7:03 am

Jandakot just passed the 50mm mark. Totals of 30-45mm around most of the metro area!

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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby mackerelmauler » Fri May 23, 2014 7:30 am

Marangaroo has had more than 25mm. I wont know how much more until I empty out the mearurer and pour in the overflow.
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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby rob-dog » Fri May 23, 2014 8:07 am

WOW awoke today to a pleasant surprise. I g=could hear the constant rain overnight but 40-50mm + for a lot of places!! :)) Perth did real well

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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby mackerelmauler » Fri May 23, 2014 8:24 am

Marangaroo missed out with "only" 33 mm.
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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby davo » Fri May 23, 2014 8:39 am

Nice 44mm here. About on the avg for May now at mine.

Next stop: autumn avg 25mm away, YTD to end of May about 50mm away.

Did anyone get any thunder BTW? I didn't notice anything.

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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby Lert » Fri May 23, 2014 9:20 am

mackerelmauler wrote:Marangaroo missed out with "only" 33 mm.



'Only' 34mm here..

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Re: May it Rain 2014

Postby Blue Skies » Fri May 23, 2014 10:41 am

A surprising 55mm here. I must have slept through quite a bit last night.
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