Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby Torquelimited » Thu Feb 06, 2014 3:41 am

This was an interesting night up track. Great lightning shows though.
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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby Torquelimited » Thu Feb 06, 2014 3:46 am

This was a colourful night in Tom Price
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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby Fu Manchu » Thu Feb 06, 2014 9:14 pm

Blue Skies wrote:Another swirly cyclone-like low over NT land at the moment. Looks better than the claytons (ex-)cyclone in the gulf.


Once again we see some good organisation over Northern Australia, over land.

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Miss the sound of a decent rain.

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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby mackerelmauler » Fri Feb 07, 2014 7:26 am

I was listening to Eoin Cameron on 720 6WF and he was relaying reports of large sky leaks around Kununurra. Amounts in the range from 90mm to 150mm were mentioned.

The only flood warning currently on BOM is for the Fitzroy River but I think that there will be a flood warning for East Kimberley rivers issued shortly.
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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby mackerelmauler » Fri Feb 07, 2014 11:10 am

I was right about the Ord River flood warning;

Flood Warning for the Ord River Catchment

Issued at 9:23 am WST on Friday 7 February 2014
Western Australia Flood Warning Centre

Heavy rainfall up to 225mm recorded overnight Thursday to 9am Friday is expected to cause minor flooding in the King River, Dunham River and Ord River at Tarrara Bar in lower areas of the Ord River catchment.

For the next 24 hour to 9am Saturday, widespread rainfall of 75mm to 150mm with isolated heavier falls up to 200mm is forecast for the lower areas of the Ord River catchment.

Predicted River Heights/Flows:
King River at Cockburn North at 8am Friday was just above the minor flood level (2.0m) and steady. Minor flooding is expected to continue in the river during Friday and into Saturday.

Dunham River at Dunham Gorge at 8am Friday was 2m and rising. The river is expected to continue to rise during Friday but expected to remain below the minor flood level (8.0m).

Dunham River at Flying Fox Hole at 8am Friday was 5.1m and rising. The river is expected to reach the minor flood level (6.0m) later Friday.

Ord River at Tarrara Bar at 8am Friday was 4.9m and rising. The river is expected to reach the minor flood level (6.0m) later Friday.

DFES's State Emergency Service (SES) advises people and communities to be aware that flooding is possible and be prepared to relocate equipment and livestock. Watch water levels. Travellers need to be aware that road conditions may be adversely affected and travel plans may need to be reconsidered. Do not drive into water of unknown depth and velocity.

Community information is available from DFES at www.dfes.wa.gov.au.

Current river levels are available from Department of Water at www.water.wa.gov.au.

This warning is available by dialling 1300 659 213. Warnings, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/wa/flood/
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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby brayden » Fri Feb 07, 2014 3:09 pm

I'm Cyc'd! :D The TC Outlook is talking about the low near Wyndham. Though looks like one is forming within the monsoon trough off the coast NW of Broome. http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/1000hPa/orthographic=126.67,-15.11,2166

IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 1:32 pm WST on Friday 7 February 2014
for the period until midnight WST Monday 10 February 2014.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:


Nil.


A well-structured tropical low lies over the northern Kimberley near Wyndham
this midday. This system is forecast to move generally west or southwest during
the next few days. Late Sunday into Monday, this system could move off the
Kimberley coast and develop into a tropical cyclone. If the system tracks
inland, risk is diminished. Risk increases for the east and central Pilbara
coast on Monday and Tuesday if this system tracks offshore.

Flood watches and warnings are in effect due to heavy rainfall from this
system. Isolated totals over 200mm are possible in a 24 hour period near this
system. For more details, click 'Warnings' at http://www.bom.gov.au

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Saturday Low
Sunday Moderate
Monday High

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low: less than 5% Moderate: 20 to 50%
Low: 5% to 20% High: over 50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.
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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby Benni.G. » Fri Feb 07, 2014 5:03 pm

The low or I prefer 'landphoon' has been pretty much sitting over Lake Argyle / Kununurra all day. I noticed the low off Broome a few hours ago, it was like TC Edna a few days ago which just suddenly popped up out of no where. Has been an interesting last month with this monsoonal event, just keeps on delivering :D
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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby brayden » Sat Feb 08, 2014 9:53 am

Yeah I remember people talking about the 'monsoons/wet seasons of past' and how things are not the same these days, but I reckon this must be the best wet season to have 'come back' hey. The trough is looking defined today in WA :)
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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby peterperthh » Mon Feb 10, 2014 7:34 pm

Having spent the last 3 months in dry Perth, I've come up to Karratha for a short trip and am getting smashed by a storm first night here. Best way to get storms in Perth is to leave Perth

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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby Fu Manchu » Mon Feb 10, 2014 9:33 pm

brayden wrote:Yeah I remember people talking about the 'monsoons/wet seasons of past' and how things are not the same these days, but I reckon this must be the best wet season to have 'come back' hey. The trough is looking defined today in WA :)


Yep, they were the days
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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby peterperthh » Tue Feb 11, 2014 1:44 pm

Pics from the Karratha storm last night:

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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby brayden » Tue Feb 11, 2014 1:58 pm

Noice! :D
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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby silvercloud » Tue Feb 11, 2014 6:53 pm

Cool pics.

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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby Storm Wolf » Tue Feb 11, 2014 11:16 pm

Damn storms swung east of course, or to Karratha. I'm in Onslow til Sunday. Saw some lightning last night but it's just gusty and hot here. Radar's showing a bit but we'll see how it is in the morning. Some nice cloud formations but swinging away.
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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby Fu Manchu » Wed Feb 19, 2014 9:47 pm

One of our favourite followers on twitter is Rebecca in Broome. She is hilarious.
Bec writes:
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Or lack there of. Or too much of. Or enough of.
@TheWAWG http://t.co/w2hrx9dTIv"

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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby silvercloud » Thu Feb 20, 2014 9:11 pm

Hahaha love it

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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby brayden » Fri Mar 14, 2014 12:45 pm

WA may get Gillian after all! Still a fair way out with models but it would be awesome for it to develop further once its west of Darwin, track SW and then swing in SE :)

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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby Fu Manchu » Fri Mar 14, 2014 8:25 pm

EC was originally keen on this system wandering out toward Timor. It does seem that the forecast is in agreement to that track (but not quite entirely). Yeah, looking more promising as each day goes on.

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Re: Northern Wet Season 2013/2014

Postby Fu Manchu » Fri Mar 14, 2014 10:48 pm

If you play this run, then what remains of Gillian will wander off to Java.
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/ ... ndex.shtml

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