TC Dianne

BigStorm

TC Dianne

Postby BigStorm » Wed Feb 16, 2011 8:44 pm

I don't know if this is the right spot but cyclone Dainne has just be named off the NW coast.

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 6
Issued at 8:45 pm WST on Wednesday 16 February 2011


A CYCLONE WATCH is current for coastal areas from Exmouth to Cape Cuvier.

At 8:00 pm WST Tropical Cyclone Dianne, Category 1 was estimated to be
465 kilometres northwest of Exmouth and
550 kilometres north northwest of Coral Bay and
is near stationary.

Tropical Cyclone Dianne has developed well off the northwest coast. If Dianne
moves closer to the coast, GALES with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour may
develop in coastal areas between Exmouth and Cape Cuvier later Thursday or more
likely on Friday.

FESA-State Emergency Service advises that there are no community alerts at
present.
Communities between Exmouth and Cape Cuvier should listen for the next advice.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Dianne at 8:00 pm WST:
.Centre located near...... 18.8 degrees South 111.2 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... near stationary
.Wind gusts near centre... 100 kilometres per hour and INTENSIFYING
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 986 hectoPascals

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Re: TC Dianne

Postby Fu Manchu » Wed Feb 16, 2011 10:58 pm

This annalisis will give a fantastic run down on TC Dianne
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k0c69KumXUQ

BigStorm

Re: TC Dianne

Postby BigStorm » Thu Feb 17, 2011 6:37 am

This is the latest analysis of Cyclone Dianne (just a few hours old)
http://www.youtube.com/user/28cyclones# ... k2-80nwqZ8

BigStorm

Re: TC Dianne

Postby BigStorm » Thu Feb 17, 2011 8:15 am

The forecast models are starting to line up with TC Dianne expected to cross over Shark Bay and follow the coast south. Should bring heavy rain from Carnarvon right down the west coast to the capes. :D

GFS
http://www.weatherzone.com.au/models/?l ... aus&mt=gfs

BOM
http://www.weatherzone.com.au/models/?l ... mt=accessg

BigStorm

Re: TC Dianne

Postby BigStorm » Thu Feb 17, 2011 12:04 pm

IDW24100
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 9
Issued at 12:00 pm WST on Thursday 17 February 2011


A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal areas from Exmouth to Coral Bay.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal areas from Onslow to Exmouth and Coral
Bay to Overlander, including Carnarvon and Denham.

At 11:00 am WST Tropical Cyclone Dianne, Category 2 was estimated to be
385 kilometres northwest of Exmouth and
650 kilometres north northwest of Carnarvon and is near stationary.

Tropical Cyclone Dianne remains near stationary well off the northwest coast.
Diane is expected to drift slowly south during Thursday and Friday. If it moves
closer to the coast GALES with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour may develop in
coastal areas between Exmouth and Coral Bay late on Thursday or Friday, and may
extend east to Onslow and south to Overlander Roadhouse on Friday. If Diane
takes a more south easterly track DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts in excess of 125
kilometres per hour may occur between Coral Bay and Overlander Roadhouse later
Friday and Saturday.

Tides along the entire west coast will be higher than normal over the next few
days. Tides between Onslow and Shark Bay are likely to exceed the high water
mark with flooding of low lying coastal areas possible.

FESA State Emergency Service (SES) advises of the following community alerts:

BLUE ALERT: People in or near Exmouth and Coral Bay need to prepare for
cyclonic weather and organise an emergency kit including first aid kit, torch,
portable radio, spare batteries, food and water.

Other communities between Onslow and Overlander Roadhouse, including Carnarvon
and Denham should listen for the next advice.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Dianne at 11:00 am WST:
.Centre located near...... 19.3 degrees South 111.7 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... near stationary
.Wind gusts near centre... 130 kilometres per hour and INTENSIFYING
.Severity category........ 2
.Central pressure......... 978 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 3:00 pm WST Thursday 17 February.

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Re: TC Dianne

Postby Duideka » Thu Feb 17, 2011 2:16 pm

Image
Image

BigStorm

Re: TC Dianne

Postby BigStorm » Thu Feb 17, 2011 2:57 pm

The latest forecast track map has her turning towards the coast and possibly making a run towards Geraldton on Sunday

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDW60281.shtml

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Re: TC Dianne

Postby Duideka » Thu Feb 17, 2011 2:59 pm

Cross quoting for archive purposes;
Image
Image

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Re: TC Dianne

Postby Duideka » Fri Feb 18, 2011 2:44 pm

BOM main website listed Diane as ex-TC lol.

Track map:
Image
Image

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Re: TC Dianne

Postby Duideka » Fri Feb 18, 2011 2:55 pm

Changed again:
Image

Miles away.

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