Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby Pete » Tue Jul 17, 2012 10:34 pm

Tuesday 16, July 2012
10:34pm

It was a partly cloudy day with cold and gusty S'ly winds but they shifted to a W'ly this afternoon and the cloud bases lifted. Still a bit of cloud coming through at the moment but it's pretty cold.
Currently 9.0 degrees, overnight low 7.5 degrees, today's max 13.9 degrees
Humidity 67%
1030hPa and rising
Winds NW at 7km/h
11mm of rain today

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby Pete » Wed Jul 18, 2012 10:44 pm

Wednesday 18, July 2012
10:44pm

Started off mostly clear and fairly chilly but the cloud returned by mid-morning and it was overcast all day. Still cloudy out there now, but there are breaks in the sky.
Currently 11.9 degrees, overnight low 5.5 degrees, today's max 15.8 degrees
Humidity 76%
Pressure 1026hPa and falling
Winds W/NW at 7.8km/h
No rain

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby floppy » Fri Jul 20, 2012 6:49 am

Thursday 19 July

mostly cloudy all day with some very light drizzle in the late afternoon
light winds from the NW
you can never always sometimes tell
when you least expect the most

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby Pete » Fri Jul 20, 2012 9:53 pm

Friday 20, July
9:53pm

Another mostly cloudy day, bases lifted again this afternoon as the humidity dropped. The cloud has mostly cleared now, could be a good sunrise tomorrow morning if that high cloud moves east. Rain and wintry conditions will return early next week.
Currently 11.5 degrees, overnight low 8.3 degrees, today's max 17.8 degrees
Humidity 97%
Pressure 1028hPa and steady
No wind
No rain

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby snowbaby » Sat Jul 21, 2012 8:10 am

Pete

some of the numbers GFS is throwing up for the cold pool crossing over us from late Monday are very impressive. The last few runs are forecasting thicknesses below 530 for Monday into Tuesday - never seen sub 530 forecast for Albany since I've been following it.

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby Pete » Sat Jul 21, 2012 9:49 am

I've never seen the 850's so cold since I started following the GFS models. Nearly -4C predicted for 3am Tuesday. It's a pity the models have backed off on the 500's - but even so we only need a low LCL and some decent low topped clouds to get snowfall on the ranges. Low level moisture is okay at this stage, pity the uppers are so dry.

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby snowbaby » Mon Jul 23, 2012 5:12 pm

...that cold pool coming up tonite(mon) think the only thing stopping me from getting excited about snow on the ranges is the moisture question - whether there's going to be enough there to produce much to speak of. Bom's sounding for this morning seems to more or less confirm GFS temps forecast for 8am.

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby Pete » Mon Jul 23, 2012 6:37 pm

snowbaby wrote:...that cold pool coming up tonite(mon) think the only thing stopping me from getting excited about snow on the ranges is the moisture question - whether there's going to be enough there to produce much to speak of. Bom's sounding for this morning seems to more or less confirm GFS temps forecast for 8am.


What's your opinion? Worth anyone heading up there?

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby snowbaby » Mon Jul 23, 2012 8:06 pm

I plan to head up early in the morning but i'm not really confident there'll be much. If I dont go and it turns out a bit better than expected I'll just spend the rest of the week kicking myself...the front itself is weakish and while temps seem pretty good I just wonder how much moisture will be about at the right time..still looking at charts etc on that one.

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby @weather_wa » Mon Jul 23, 2012 8:25 pm

Snow showers being forecasted till Wednesday afternoon:

http://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Bl ... l/6day/top

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby Pete » Mon Jul 23, 2012 8:31 pm

Freezing level is 1200m... Bluff Knoll is 1095m. Definitely worth a go. Good luck. :)

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby snowbaby » Mon Jul 23, 2012 8:54 pm

The other quandry is wednesday - there's a bit of a feature coming through then when a front passes to the south west of us and showers will probably pick up - but 850's are forecast to be not so cold - the forecast could prove wrong as was the case back in June when there was a dusting on the mountain - difficult to know exactly how to pick it.

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby Pete » Mon Jul 23, 2012 9:23 pm

Monday 23, July 2012
9:23pm

Yeah it started off partly cloud and cool. Cloud increased during the day and we had showers passing south of us most of the morning. The cold front moved through here about 1pm, it was fairly slow moving because we've just seen the back end of it. Got 9mm so far. Cold air is moving up behind this system and Albany will see moderate showers overnight with thunder and hail likely overnight and early tomorrow. As mentioned there is the possibility of snow on Bluff Knoll tonight, hopefully it pulls off. Cool weather ahead for the rest of the week with showers clearing by Saturday at this stage. Frost is likely over much of the inland south coast over the next few days, we'll see how that pans out.
Currently 9.1 degrees, overnight low 5.9 degrees, today's max 15.2 degrees.
Humidity 97%
Pressure 1019hPa and rising
Winds S/SW at 19km/h
No rain to 9am here, 9mm since

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby @weather_wa » Wed Jul 25, 2012 3:37 am

snowbaby wrote:I plan to head up early in the morning but i'm not really confident there'll be much. If I dont go and it turns out a bit better than expected I'll just spend the rest of the week kicking myself...the front itself is weakish and while temps seem pretty good I just wonder how much moisture will be about at the right time..still looking at charts etc on that one.


Did you end up going?

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby snowbaby » Wed Jul 25, 2012 1:56 pm

Arrived at summit about 7.30am Tuesday during an intense but brief snow shower which left a patchy snow on rocks and on ground under shrubs. This dusting remained for at least an hour before melting. Temps during this time were at the lower end of the range 0.3 to 0.9. Wind chill ranged down to about -5.5.Bits of snow snagged in bushes turned to rime by the cold southerly.

Unfortunately only smatterings of sleet and snowflakes after this time and within a few hours temps had risen into 2.5 plus range.

May’ve snowed in night, but if it did so then it had melted so temps may not have been sufficiently cold to preserve it from that time.Cant be sure maybe it didn't snow then - I think 850 temps were forecast to be little too warm perhaps in the earlier part of the night.

Had so many things going for it in the early hours of the morning just a pity there wasn’t more moisture about- the same sorts of temps but with a stronger front.

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby floppy » Wed Jul 25, 2012 3:45 pm

so snowbaby
whats happening now
are you down from the bluff or what
and are you local to Albany, would be good to catch up
you can never always sometimes tell
when you least expect the most

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby snowbaby » Thu Jul 26, 2012 7:08 pm

down now...perhaps see you on the summit sometime

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby Pete » Fri Jul 27, 2012 10:10 pm

Friday 27, July 2012
10:10pm

It was a partly cloudy day with drizzle at times during this morning but that cleared by mid-day. We had a mostly sunny afternoon as cloud contracted to the coast. There were still showers going along the coast at sunset but it's mostly clear inland.
Currently 10.1 degrees, overnight low 6.3 degrees, today's max 17.7 degrees
Humidity 98%
Pressure 1030hPa and rising
Winds - calm
3mm of rain overnight

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby floppy » Sun Jul 29, 2012 12:26 am

Saturday in Albany wasn't too bad
but it is a little chilly tonight
so at half past midnight it is 8 degrees and 98 % humidity
you can never always sometimes tell
when you least expect the most

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Re: Albany & South Coast: Winter 2012

Postby Pete » Sun Jul 29, 2012 9:55 pm

Sunday 29, July 2012
9:55pm

It's been a mostly sunny day after another cold morning. Was a bit of cloud around which made for a nice sunset, but I didn't take any photos. Winds have been increasing all evening, they're quite fresh and gusty now so a warm day tomorrow me thinks.
Currently 12.2 degrees, overnight low 5.8 degrees, today's max 18.0 degrees
Humidity 89%
Pressure 1028hPa and falling
Winds N/NE at 17km/h
No rain

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